‘What Obasanjo, Atiku may have to do with Shettima’s dipping influence,’ One of the insightful analyses of the political fireworks on-going in the north, By Oreoluwa O. Olaleye
🧭 INTRO:
In Nigeria, betrayal is not treason; it’s strategy.
And right now, the political North is shifting under our feet.
Kwankwaso defects.
Ganduje resigns.
And Shettima?
He’s smiling at Atiku and Obasanjo like say 2027 dey call am privately. (A call to the Camp of failure)
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But Tinubu?
Tinubu no dey blink.
The pieces are moving; and this exposé is about to show you why Ganduje might soon be sipping tea in Paris, and Shettima might just be holding a mic with nobody listening.
🧨 1. GANDUJE: FALL FROM POWER OR FLIGHT TO PRIVILEGE?
People say Ganduje was disgraced.
But make we no lie — this guy no dey fall anyhow.
He’s too connected for that.!
Theories in play:
Strategic Resignation to allow Kwankwaso enter APC and balance the northern chessboard.
Prepping for a soft-landing international appointment; possibly Ambassador (France, Egypt, or UAE dey eye am)
Pulling a classic “exit from the ring before the next round begins”
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You can’t push a core Tinubu loyalist out;
…you either relocate him to foreign soil, wrapped in agbada and diplomatic immunity or elevate him to a frontline.
🕳️ 2. SHETTIMA:
FROM ‘SILENT INTELLECTUAL’ TO POLITICAL LIABILITY
Once the intellectual VP from Borno with poetic English and deep quotes;
Now, he’s losing:
✅ Steam
•Radio silence on key national crises.
•Fewer decisive appearances.
•More empty PR than policy power.
✅ Trust (especially from the Tinubu camp)
•Dining with Obasanjo and Atiku raises major red flags.
•Attending events that undermine APC strategy.
•Backchannel whispers suggest he’s eyeing a post-Tinubu political structure.
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> You can be a Vice President.
But in Nigeria, when your loyalty becomes a question, you’re just a placeholder in a high seat. (That’s a fact)
✅ Support Base
North East no longer sees him as the future.
(Insecurity isn’t a Joke, people are waking up)
North West has always been to Kwankwaso. #RedCap
Youth don’t feel him; nobody feels Shettima.
And Tinubu’s camp? Let’s just say… they’ve gone quiet.!
⚠️ 3. THE INSECURITY FACTOR:
WHEN A VICE PRESIDENT FAILS THE NORTH
While Shettima was busy smiling at cameras:
Bandits expanded operations into Sokoto, Zamfara, and Katsina.
Schools shut down across the North West due to abductions.
And Boko Haram, though weakened, is not dead.
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Where is the bold voice of the North East son that once governed Borno?
Crickets.
He went from Borno bulldozer to Abuja background noise.
> Insecurity has worsened under his watch;
…and the silence?
Deafening.!
♟️ 4. KWANKWASO’S ENTRY: THE PIECE TINUBU NEEDED
Ganduje out.
Kwankwaso in.
Shettima sidelined. (…and it’s Shettima’s fault)
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This isn’t coincidence.
This is Tinubu’s Northern Correction Protocol™️.
He needs:
Someone with Kano street power
Someone who can deliver 2 million votes without spending 2 billion
Someone who can counter Atiku in the North without defecting to dine with him
That person? Kwankwaso.!
The red cap is no longer resistance.
It’s now realignment.
—##
📊 WHO’S WINNING?
Politician Status
● Ganduje Soft landing — possible Ambassador.
Still loyal.
Still relevant.
● Shettima Losing relevance, trust, and grassroots grip.
A VP in name, not in power.
● Kwankwaso, aRising star.
Potential 2027 VP candidate; Holding Kano tight.
♤ Tinubu Mastermind.
Resetting the board.
Preparing for legacy move.
🧠 In all…
> You laughed because Ganduje resigned.
But Tinubu already drafted the next 4 moves.
While Shettima was rehearsing speeches, Kwankwaso was getting handed the script.
2027 is not coming — it has already started.
